Wednesday, October 18, 2006

Doyle Holding Lead in Governor's Race

The One Wisconsin Now survey also showes Governor Jim Doyle leading Congressman Mark Green by a 47% to 41% margin heading into the final three weeks of the campaign. Doyle's advantage over Green climbs to 7 points (48% to 41%) when the sample is limited to the 583 voters who say that they will "definitely vote" on November 7th.

Doyle's current lead over Green is based on his strong showing among women, seniors, moderates and Independent voters. Doyle also greatly benefits from doing much better in his home base than Green does in his. Doyle holds a commanding lead in his home media market of Madison (+34), and edges Green in his home market of Green Bay by 3 points. Doyle trails Green in the Milwaukee media market by 7 points, a market he lost to McCallum in 2002 by 3 points. In the rest of the state, Doyle holds an 8-point advantage.

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